MUSE – A new Energy Systems Model

shutterstock_150445289The modelling team, led by Dr Adam Hawkes and Dr Sara Giarola are developing a novel simulation tool which takes a whole global energy system approach to determine the role that natural gas might play in a low carbon world.

The modelling team include Dr Daniel Crow, Dr Sara Budinis, Dr Ivan Garcia Kerdan and Dr Julia Sachs.

What is an Energy Systems Model?

With more renewable technologies, and increasing energy demands, the global energy system is constantly evolving and rapidly changing. However, there is a very complex relationship between the energy system and the economy, technology, the environment and international policies.

Energy system models can be used to makes sense and study how these changes could be managed and to see which innovative technologies could reduce energy costs, improve efficiency, or reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

How does MUSE differ from other Energy Systems Models?

The MUSE (ModUlar energy systems Simulation Environment) model is unique:-

  1. Providing a global perspective. Over 28 regions are included to represent the whole world.
  2. It is also more technologically-rich than other models and it includes hundreds of different technologies used across a wide range of energy sectors.
  3. It covers the whole energy system (which means all the ways of sourcing, transporting and using energy).
  4. MUSE will also be completely open–access so anyone will be able to find the code, tools and methodology to use the model for their own work.

Who will be able to use the model?

Industry will be able to use it for technology and R&D roadmapping, and strategy development while it will help policy makers and international government make future plans for climate change mitigation.

muse-2What are the applications for MUSE?

  • Explore technologies that can make a significant impact on the cost of energy, improve energy efficiency or reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Able to test different scenarios to guide future technology road mapping and R&D investment decisions by asking ‘what if?’ questions such as ‘what would likely happen and on what time-frame if a global carbon tax is introduced?’
  • Provide insights into upstream opportunities. While many models focus on downstream activities (i.e. on end use and consumption). MUSE specialises also in upstream activity (i.e. exploration, production).
  • Help companies build R&D investment case around developing better or lower cost systems, or decide what are the key technologies across the upstream environment that would lead to cleaner production of oil and gas?

When will MUSE be available?

Built in a modular fashion it will reveal relationships between gas and other energy commodities (e.g. renewables). A beta version of the model will be available in July 2016 with version 1.0 targeted for release by the end of 2016.

If you’d like more information…

Please contact us at SGI@imperial.ac.uk if you want more information on the Energy Systems Model.

You can also read about the model in an interview with Dr Adam Hawkes for Oil & Adjacent Gas ‘A thoroughly modern Engery Systems Model’. 

If you want to read more about the topic ‘Energy systems modeling for twenty-first century energy challenges‘ in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
33 (74–86) 2014 (only institutions with Elsevier access will be able to get the full article).